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‘This is a huge scandal,’ Sen. Ron Johnson said.

COVID Vaccine Safety Signals FlaggedA Food and Drug Administration (FDA) expert found indications of safety problems with COVID-19 vaccines several months after they were authorized, according to newly released emails.

FDA leaders, informed of the findings, declined to make them public, according to records obtained by Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.) and released on April 29.

Dr. Ana Szarfman, an FDA vaccine safety analytic expert at the time, met with Dr. Peter Marks, the FDA’s then-top vaccine official, and others at the agency on March 1, 2021, to discuss issues with the approach employed by the FDA to analyze the safety of vaccines following the emergency authorization of COVID-19 shots.

Szarfman had advocated for the FDA in the 2000s to adopt the approach, an algorithm called the multi-item gamma Poisson shrinker developed by William DuMouchel, the chief statistician at Oracle Health Sciences. Szarfman helped develop the FDA’s data mining system, which fully implemented the algorithm by January 2021.

In the March 2021 meeting, Szarfman told her superiors that limitations of the algorithm included masking, or difficulty detecting safety signals, and that DuMouchel had developed a new method called the regression-adjusted gamma Poisson shrinker that she had examined. The updated algorithm was “state of the art” because it “incorporates more information,” which “leads to a lower rate of missed signals and less false alerts,” she told them.

David Menschik, an associate director for surveillance informatics at the FDA, subsequently requested a “special project run” for the existing method that would attempt to adjust for a “muting trend” of adverse events following COVID-19 vaccination. That run was completed, but the results were not made public or included in the records Johnson acquired, Johnson and his team said in a report.
On March 26, 2021, Szarfman shared an analysis that DuMouchel performed using the new algorithm. The analysis on COVID-19 vaccines showed “49 examples of extreme masking,” Szarfman wrote in one of the emails obtained by Johnson. She said that the result showed statistically significant signals for more than 20 health issues, including sudden cardiac death and Bell’s palsy.
Dr. Peter Marks in Washington, in an undated file photograph. Susan Walsh/Getty Images

Szarfman, in subsequent emails, shared additional analyses that identified more safety signals, such as sudden death for the Moderna and Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccines, as well as more details about her concerns that the method the FDA was using was insufficient in light of the updated approach. FDA leaders ultimately directed her to stop performing the analyses.

“Please hold off on creating and sending data mining reports and analyses using COVID-19 vaccine [adverse event] data,” one wrote.

After Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) officials acknowledged later in May 2021 that myocarditis, or heart inflammation, and other cardiac problems could be caused by the COVID-19 vaccines, Szarfman wrote to colleagues that she was “not astonished” that the existing FDA approach did not detect signals on myocardial events, and she noted that the new method had documented signals for acute myocardial infarction, or heart attack.

FDA officials responded by writing in emails that they were worried about spreading the findings from the new algorithm.

Marks said in a Sept. 15, 2021, missive to one of Szarfman’s superiors, Dr. Patrizia Cavazzoni, that Szarfman “has decided on her own to do vaccine analysis” using data from the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System but without assistance from other FDA statisticians.

Marks complained that the issue had “become a major distraction.” Szarfman, he said, “has been asked to cease and desist, because the strategy that she is using could create erroneous conflicts that feed in to anti-vaccination rhetoric.” Marks was one of the officials who rushed COVID-19 vaccine approval to enable vaccine mandates, according to previously released missives.

Peter Stein, another FDA official, replied to Marks, “We’ve made it clear to her that she should not be discussing or providing internal analyses externally, and needs to focus on her assigned work.”

A journal in mid-2022 published a paper coauthored by Szarfman and DuMouchel that said the current vaccine safety analysis methods were plagued by masking to the extent that “signals of adverse events related to COVID-19 vaccines may be undetected or delayed” and that the new method appeared to detect signals missed by the methods, or identify at an earlier time those that were identified.
Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.) speaks during an interview with The Epoch Times at his office in the Hart Senate office building in Washington on March 21, 2024. Madalina Vasiliu/The Epoch Times
The new method was superior not only to the multi-item gamma Poisson shrinker used by the FDA, but also to the proportional reporting ratio used by the CDC, the authors said. The CDC’s method identified hundreds of signals in 2022 in its initial runs, according to records obtained by The Epoch Times and released in 2023.

Szarfman, who has retired, and DuMouchel did not respond to requests for comment.

An email to Menschik, who is still employed by the FDA, returned an automatic message saying he is on extended leave.

Marks, who left the government in 2025 over disagreements with Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. on how to handle vaccine safety analysis and has since joined pharmaceutical company Eli Lilly, and Cavazzoni, now the chief medical officer for Pfizer, could not be reached.

Contact information for Stein, who is not listed in the Health and Human Services Department employee directory, could not be located.

Johnson, the chairman of the Senate’s Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations, told The Epoch Times in a recent interview that the newly obtained records showed that top officials knew the methods they were using were inferior but would not adopt the newer approach.

“I think this is a bombshell,” Johnson said. “I think this is a huge scandal.”

Johnson has a hearing on the records scheduled for the afternoon of April 29.

Karl Jablonowski, director of science and research at Children’s Health Defense, a group that scrutinizes vaccines and was cofounded by Kennedy before he took office, was among the experts slated to testify during the hearing.

Jablonowski told The Epoch Times that Johnson’s report on the emails “is really heartbreaking because it’s looking back at a time where had they done something different—and they were encouraged to do something different—the end result would have been so much better for the country.”

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